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Deep Dives

A stock makes a big move. We dig out the real catalyst from filings and news, compare it with its peers, and call the move justified, an overreaction, or mixed. Each dive is dated and never edited afterwards.

Date Ticker What happened Verdict Price at dive Since
Nov 13, 2026 HROW Q3 2026 (11/9 after close): record revenue $99.3M (+39% YoY), GAAP EPS $0.25; FY26 adj. EBITDA guidance cut to >$40M from $80-100M, revenue guide $350-365M reaffirmed Overreaction $28.30 +6.4%
Nov 12, 2026 NBIS Q3 2026 (11/12 before the open): revenue beat ($980.8M vs $907.5M) and 2027 revenue guide $12-13B above consensus, but 2026 revenue moved to the low end of $3.0-3.4B, ARR dropped as a metric, 2026 capex raised to ~$27B and 2027 capex set at $40-45B Justified $119.94 -3.4%
Nov 12, 2026 NBIS Sympathy rally on CoreWeave Q3 beat-and-raise (11/10 AMC) a day before its own Q3; NBIS Q3 on 11/12 then beat revenue ($980.8M vs ~$907.5M) and guided 2027 sales $12-13B Justified $119.94 -3.4%
Nov 11, 2026 CRWV Q3 2026 beat (revenue $3.66B, +168% YoY vs $3.55B est.) + raised FY26 revenue and adj. operating income guide, backlog $132.5B, 2027 funding plan built on ~$9B customer prepayments; up ~11-16% premarket 11/11 after a -52% slide on credit fears Justified $55.97 -5.1%
Nov 11, 2026 SATL Q3 2026 (11/10 after close): record revenue $16.0M, +342% YoY vs ~$12.4M consensus, 2nd straight positive adj. EBITDA, plus largest-ever ~$37M sovereign deal for 3 in-orbit satellites; the 11/6-11/9 +37% pre-earnings run was a space-sector rebound with no company news Justified $4.53 -27.1%
Nov 10, 2026 RXRX No company news behind the Nov 5 / Nov 9 / Nov 10 swings: AI-drug-discovery basket and market moves after a positive-but-distant Q3 (Nov 2) and a $200M offering at $3.25 (Oct 16) Mixed $3.54 -10.1%
Nov 6, 2026 WULF Q3 revenue $76.2M vs ~$62.5M est, HPC leases 83% of revenue; Google credit support for $19B Anthropic lease (11/4); Texas JV sold Overreaction $11.08 +13.9%
Nov 5, 2026 SEZL Q3 2026 (11/4 after close): revenue +42.6% to $166.5M vs $155.7M consensus, adj EPS $1.37 vs $0.70; FY26 revenue growth raised to ~42.5% from 35%, FY27 adj EPS $7.20 vs ~$6.53-6.65 expected Justified $172.76 -10.5%
Nov 4, 2026 DDOG Q3 beat (revenue $1.197B +35%, adj. EPS $0.81) and full-year raise, but Q4 revenue guide $1.19-1.20B is flat on Q3 and adj. operating income guide $280-290M is below Q3's $334M Mixed $199.74 -7.8%
Nov 3, 2026 BRUN No BRUN news on Nov 3 (+10.9%, neocloud group bounce). Since Oct 6: Oct 26 PR (first phase delivered, $600M+ project financing), resale S-1 updated (POS AM effective Oct 19), Oct 5 8-K $76M exec RSUs Mixed $7.46 -25.9%
Nov 2, 2026 TEM Q3 2026: revenue $411.5M (+23%, in line), adj EBITDA $25.6M vs $1.5M, data +33%, >$550M data bookings YTD, FY rev guide nudged up; stock +13% intraday Justified $81.59 -12.2%
Nov 2, 2026 NXT Q2 FY27 beat and raised FY27 guide (10/28), stock -2.7% next day; -49% since 5/29 with the solar group (TAN -46%) Mixed $93.50 +1.6%
Nov 1, 2026 CDNS Q3 (AMC 10/26): rev $1.633B +22%, non-GAAP EPS $2.11 vs $2.05 est; record backlog $8.2B; 2026 guide raised 3rd time to $6.387-6.417B rev (~21%), EPS $8.37-8.43; new $2.5B buyback Justified $330.02 -2.1%
Nov 1, 2026 VICR Q3 (BMO 10/20): rev $197.1M +78.5% YoY / +37.5% QoQ, GM 68.3%, backlog $406M (+166% YoY), $100M bookings in first 2 weeks of Q4 incl. large 2nd-gen VPD order from lead customer Mixed $193.62 -17.9%
Nov 1, 2026 UCTT Q3 (AMC 10/27): record rev $759M +49% YoY (above $700-750M guide), non-GAAP EPS $1.15 vs $0.94 est; Q4 guide rev $800-860M, non-GAAP EPS $1.11-1.35; gap fully sold by 10/30 Mixed $50.14 -7.6%
Nov 1, 2026 FLEX FQ2 FY27 (BMO 10/28): rev $8.49B +25%, record adj EPS $1.18 vs $1.06 est; FY27 adj EPS guide raised to $4.84-5.16 from $4.42-4.74; Cloud & Power Infrastructure (Axiom spin) guided +75-85% Justified $87.88 -14.7%
Nov 1, 2026 CLS Q3 (AMC 10/26): rev ~$5.83B +83%, adj EPS $3.30 +109%, both above guide high end; 2026 outlook raised to $21.0B rev (from $20.5B), adj EPS ~$11.55 (from $11.30); investor day 10/27 Justified $269.00 -10.7%
Nov 1, 2026 PENG Re-check of the FQ4 beat/raise (AMC 10/6): the whole earnings gap reversed in the AI-hardware / memory selloff (-35.5% from the 10/13 high); no company news found since 10/7 Mixed $53.44 -11.4%
Nov 1, 2026 GEN FQ2 FY27 (AMC 10/28): rev $1.369B +12%, bookings +10%, FY27 guide raised (rev $5.465-5.515B, EPS $2.93-2.98); CFO: outlook does not depend on an acquisition, not pursuing a transformative deal (after Sept GoDaddy-bid report) Justified $29.25 +3.9%
Nov 1, 2026 VRT Q3 (BMO 10/28): sales $4.31B +61%, organic orders >100% YoY, adj EPS $2.21 vs $1.82 est; FY26 guide raised: sales $14.45-14.85B (+$650M), adj EPS $7.10-7.20 vs $6.73 consensus Justified $235.73 -14.3%
Nov 1, 2026 PRCH Q3 (AMC 10/28): rev $143.9M +13% (Porch-owned +22%), Insurance Services +39%, adj EBITDA $44.5M +116%; FY26 adj EBITDA guide raised to $135-140M from $119-125M Justified $20.45 +2.9%
Nov 1, 2026 GDYN Q3 (AMC 10/29) beat: rev $114.3M +9.7% (above $112-114M guide), non-GAAP EBITDA margin 20.0% vs 12.2%; Q4 guide rev $113.5-115.5M / EBITDA $20-22M above consensus; AI = 31% of revenue Justified $13.25 -0.3%
Oct 31, 2026 ABT Q3 2026 comparable sales +7.0% (best of 2026, EP +15.5%), adj EPS $1.42 +9.2%; tax-free spin of $8.5B Nutrition by end-2027; FY comparable sales guide cut to ~6% but stock +5.7% vs SPY -2.2% since 10/21 Justified $106.89 +1.5%
Oct 31, 2026 NOW Q3 2026 in line (sub rev $3.99B +20.5% cc, adj EPS $1.00 vs $1.02) but Q4 cRPO guided to +18.5% from +21% (half of Q3 beat = renewals pulled from Q4), sub gross margin 80% vs 83%, GAAP net income -45%; worst day on record -27% Justified $104.85 -2.5%
Oct 31, 2026 BE Q3 2026 beat and raise (rev $1.24B +138%, adj EPS $0.94 vs $0.69, FY guide $4.4-4.6B) but operating cash flow turned negative (FCF -$181M) on $618M YTD contract-asset build, 69% customer concentration, no backlog update Mixed $206.03 -6.8%
Oct 29, 2026 ALNY Q3 2026: revenue beat ($1.458B) but 2026 TTR guided to the low end of $4.2-4.5B (implied flat/down Q4), new 340B/UnitedHealth MA/net-price headwinds; 2nd disappointment after the July cut Justified $184.67 -10.6%
Oct 29, 2026 INSM Q3 2026 beat: revenue $524.4M vs $500.4M est, BRINSUPRI $400.1M (+29% q/q), 2026 BRINSUPRI guidance raised to $1.35-1.40B; EPS -$0.46 missed Justified $105.52 +14.8%
Oct 29, 2026 CRM Q2 FY27 (8/26 AMC): non-GAAP EPS $5.90 vs $3.27 incl. $2.6B Anthropic mark-up; revenue +10.8% (~6.4% ex-Informatica); GAAP op income flat Y/Y; Claudeforce launch; stock +22.6% on 8/27 Mixed $230.16 -5.4%
Oct 28, 2026 GOOGL Q3 2026 (Oct 28 after close): revenue +24.7% to $127.6B (slight miss), Cloud +103%, operating income +30%, but capex $51.4B pushed free cash flow to -$9.1B, buybacks $0 (vs $11.5B), Search and YouTube below estimates; about -8.6% after hours Mixed $286.88 +3.1%
Oct 28, 2026 TER Q3 beat (rev $1,306M vs ~$1.26B est, non-GAAP EPS $2.29 vs ~$2.08) but Q4 guide $1.25-1.35B is flat sequentially (~+20% YoY at midpoint vs +70% in Q3); shares -6.7% on the open while chip peers trade up Justified $296.66 -15.9%
Oct 28, 2026 HOOD Q3 2026 (reported 10/27 after close): record revenue $1.42B (+12%, about in line), GAAP EPS $0.51 missed ~$0.55 (incl. $0.07 Ventures Fund mark), crypto revenue -55%, net interest -9%; CFO flagged tighter Q4 spreads and October volumes ~5% below the Q3 peak Justified $89.23 -12.7%
Oct 27, 2026 CIFR $850M 0% convertible notes due 2032 (conversion ~$15.31) plus a 40.7M-share exchange of 2030 notes, announced 10/13 and priced 10/14, inside an AI-infrastructure and bitcoin-miner selloff Mixed $8.26 -16.9%
Oct 26, 2026 XTND Preliminary 9M 2026 revenue $24.5-26.5M, AI Robotics backlog ~$84M at 9/30, ex-Navy SEAL Matt McGraw named U.S. CEO (8-K 10/26); stock +72% intraday off all-time low Mixed $2.29 -39.3%
Oct 26, 2026 XP Lula won Brazil's 10/25 runoff 51.8%-48.2% over Flavio Bolsonaro, unwinding the first-round election rally; Brazil ADRs gap down (EWZ -25% premarket), XP -45% to -50% premarket Overreaction $14.55 +6.5%
Oct 22, 2026 TER No Teradyne news; chip-equipment selloff after Lam Research (10/21 AMC) capped its Dec-quarter guide on component shortages and lower China; TER reports 10/27 AMC Mixed $321.49 -22.4%
Oct 22, 2026 FPS CFO Ryan Fiedler steps down effective immediately (8-K 10/22); EVP Finance Amy Ard named CFO; no guidance update Mixed $26.13 -15.3%
Oct 21, 2026 INOD Software-sector rally (IGV +1.8%); no company news; Q3 results Nov 5 AMC Mixed $58.23 -39.1%
Oct 21, 2026 HGRAF Corporate progress update: 30+ sample customers, first orders expected 'in coming months', unnamed defense talks, Oct 29 US redomicile vote, new equity grants at $2.78 Overreaction $2.54 —
Oct 20, 2026 HOST Board authorizes discretionary $15M share buyback (Oct 20 PR) after an ~87% post-merger collapse Mixed $2.72 -32.4%
Oct 19, 2026 CLF Q3 2026 beat: adj. EPS $0.28 vs ~$0.22 est., adj. EBITDA $612M (strongest in 3 yrs, above $575M guide), back to GAAP profit $165M; Q4 EBITDA guided ~$715M, 2027 EBITDA seen above $4B Justified $13.69 -7.6%
Oct 16, 2026 XLAB 8-K (10/15): $8.2M sale of 12 NVIDIA HGX B300 GPU servers + 36 months of IT operations to Sunon Inc. (Sunonwealth, TWSE 2421) Mixed $1.85 —
Oct 15, 2026 CYPH No company news; stock tracks Zcash (ZEC): 6x run Aug-Sep with ZEC, then -36% from the 9/25 high as ZEC fell ~27% from its late-Sep peak Justified $2.69 -30.4%
Oct 15, 2026 HOOD Wolfe Research downgrade to Peer Perform (valuation) + Wells Fargo PT cut to $120 on 10/14, inside a fintech/AI risk-off selloff; Q3 earnings 10/27 Mixed $99.22 -21.5%
Oct 14, 2026 DOCN No company news; fell in sympathy with CoreWeave's financing scare (bond yields ~15%, $3B convert + ATM) and hot Sept CPI (3.7% vs 3.6%) Overreaction $110.09 -21.6%
Oct 12, 2026 INTC Down 20.6% from the 9/24 high: TSMC-in-Terafab talks (confirmed by Musk 10/3) plus semis profit-taking; Intel says it stays in Terafab Mixed $101.15 -41.0%
Oct 12, 2026 FNMA Michael Burry weekend Substack: sold FNMA/FMCC common, bought junior preferreds; warns $388B Treasury senior-pref conversion could dilute common >=90%. Stock -14% to new 52-wk low Mixed $3.46 —
Oct 11, 2026 RDDT Initiatives review: AI search (Reddit Answers 15M weekly), Google/OpenAI AI-data licensing renewals unresolved, logged-out personalization merge Q3; Q2 rev +61% but stock -12.5% on US DAU dip Mixed $160.90 -38.8%
Oct 8, 2026 RDW No gap; -5.2% today in AI/hardware rotation, breaking below Oct 7 low 9.90; recent news positive (Axiom ROSA contract 10/5, NITE-STAR IDIQ 9/24, Honda robotics 10/1) but stock falls on good news; $500M ATM + AE Industrial selling overhang Mixed $9.71 -20.4%
Oct 8, 2026 LAES Theme dive (Post-Quantum Cryptography), no gap: -5.3% today with semis -3.5%; news = $10M related-party PIPE into WISeSat (SAIQ) 10/1, IQT keynote 10/27, VP 10b5-1 sale Mixed $2.21 -43.6%
Oct 8, 2026 TEM No company news: -18% in 3 sessions (83.55 Oct 5 close -> 68.13) inside an AI-bio/spec-biotech theme flush; XBI below its 100MA Mixed $68.13 +5.1%
Oct 8, 2026 AEHR Pre-earnings dive: -11.7% Oct 6 on no found news (SMH -0.2%); FQ1 FY27 report moved to Nov 2 AMC due to fiscal-year change May->June Unclear $88.00 -35.2%
Oct 8, 2026 BLZE No fresh catalyst; last 10%+ move = Aug 19 gap-down on $175M 0% convert (conv $21.94) after Aug 4 Q2 beat/raise (+27%); since then -31% bleed into a 4-week 12.15-14.64 base Mixed $13.48 -42.6%
Oct 7, 2026 PENG FQ4 (AMC 10/6) beat: rev $567M +68% vs ~$516M est, adj EPS $1.00 vs $0.78; FY27 guide rev $2.25-2.60B vs $2.20B, EPS $3.75-5.15 vs $3.25; Integrated Memory +158% on AI inference demand Justified $72.93 -35.1%
Oct 7, 2026 RKLB No company news: space/high-beta selloff (-5% to -7% group-wide); backdrop Q2 rev +62%, backlog $2.36B, Iridium deal financed (bridge cancelled, $1.94B ATM) and approved 9/24 Mixed $71.19 -13.6%
Oct 6, 2026 BRUN Oct 6 8-K/PR: 5-year $525.6M AI cloud compute agreement (NVIDIA GB300 NVL72) with an unnamed sovereign AI company; acceptance from early Q2 2027; TCV now >$2.6B Justified $15.61 -64.6%
Oct 5, 2026 DNA Ginkgo Datapoints x Lilly TuneLab data-generation agreement (Sep 15-16); +112% in 13 sessions, 10/5 +21% on 10x call volume Mixed $15.08 -36.3%
Oct 5, 2026 GENB AI-bio theme rotation; RXRX +16% 10/5 as story names start to join; GENB lagging (no company news) Unclear $14.00 -13.8%
Oct 5, 2026 WDEF No single-day catalyst: a 7-week sector-wide grind lower in European defence (-16.3% from the Aug 14 close) driven by Ukraine-peace headlines (Rubio inviting Putin to the G20, Sept 24), a "show me the orders" de-rating, French fiscal stress (OAT-Bund spread at its widest since 2012) and a European gas-price shock Mixed $27.95 -4.4%
Oct 5, 2026 EWZ Brazil 1st-round election upset 10/4: Flavio Bolsonaro 47.0% vs Lula 45.2% (polls had Lula ahead) -> runoff Oct 25; Ibovespa +8.7%, BRL through 5.00-5.16, EWZ best day since Mar 2020 Justified $43.26 -25.5%
Oct 5, 2026 OUST +8.6% Fri 10/2 to $44.39 (+35.4% since 9/15 close $32.79) on a string of small Rev8 OS1 Max drone-lidar partnership PRs (Seneca 10/1, Flyability 9/9); no material news on 10/2 itself or since Mixed $44.40 -24.6%